Thursday, December 20, 2012

Targeted failure of the week. Post No 36-37. Migalastat hydrochloride (Amigal) and L- BLP25 (Stimuvax)

Both are not low-molecular compounds! Amigal belongs to biological and the failure should be somehow expected. All information concerning Amigal is here. But the failure of Germans is more interesting:
 
Merck KGaA (MRK)’s experimental drug L- BLP25 missed the main goal of a trial in lung cancer patients, denting the company’s ambitions of turning the medicine into a $1 billion-a-year product.
 
The drug, formerly known as Stimuvax, failed to improve patient survival significantly in a late-stage study of more than 1,500 patients, Darmstadt, Germany-based Merck said today in a statement. Further research will focus on smaller groups of patients who showed positive response to the drug, and results will be discussed with regulators in coming months, it said.
 
Merck fell the most in seven months after the latest setback in an 11-year effort to develop L-BLP25, a drug originated by U.S. partner Oncothyreon Inc. (ONTY), into a marketable product. While Merck is implying that there may be some hope for the vaccine, it’s still too early to say that, and the company would probably have to conduct further trials, Edouard Aubery, an analyst with Equinet AG, said in a phone interview today.
 
“This could have been a potential blockbuster, but now it’s been taken off the table,” he said. Aubery had estimated peak annual sales at 1 billion euros ($1.32 billion), with only a 25 percent probability that the vaccine would make it to market after Merck signaled that L-BLP25 was a “high-risk project.”
Well, this failure should be also expected due to Provenge  - the similar approach but against prostate cancer, is a mess.  Well, who will fail next?

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